Economic Consequences of Demographic Change in the Former USSR: Social Transfers in the Kyrgyz Republic
نویسنده
چکیده
— Dramatic demographic changes accompanied the decay and collapse of the Soviet Union. This paper considers their long-run economic effects, particularly with respect to impacts on government budgetary positions due to social transfers. Using a detailed actuarial forecasting model for the Central Asian country of Kyrgyzstan, the paper demonstrates that the effect of the transition will be felt far into the 21st century, as government budget pressures to meet social expenditure needs result in lower savings rates and higher public debt. 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
منابع مشابه
Poverty in the Kyrgyz Republic
The Kyrgyz Republic was one of the poorest of the Soviet republics and suffered severe shocks with the dissolution of the USSR in 1991. It has also been one of the most rapid reformers among Soviet successor states, and has some of the best household survey data. This paper applies probit analysis to 1993 and 1996 household survey data to examine the correlates of poverty during transition to a...
متن کاملChronic and Transitory Poverty in the Kyrgyz Republic: What Can Synthetic Panels Tell Us? Unu‐merit Working Paper Series Unu-merit Working Papers Chronic and Transitory Poverty in the Kyrgyz Republic What Can Synthetic Panels Tell Us?
The Kyrgyz Republic has enjoyed remarkable success in poverty reduction in recent years. Poverty headcounts were halved between 2005 (63.9%) and 2008 (31.3%), before they slightly increased again to 33.7% (2010). However, these aggregate figures mask individual or household trajectories into and out of poverty. Additionally, the question arises as to who has remained poor for an extended durati...
متن کاملThe Relationship between Regime Change and lifestyle Change؛ Case study: US policies towards Iran
The article addresses the relationship between lifestyle change and change in the political regime which emphasizes the policies of the American government towards the Islamic Republic of Iran. Accordingly, this research aims to answer the main question is that “what is the relationship between lifestyle change and the regime change and how does the US seek to change the political system in Ir...
متن کاملContemporary Migration and Traditional Diasporas in Russia: The Case of the Armenians in Moscow
The disintegration of the USSR caused certain new social and demographic developments in the Russian Federation. Immigration from the former Soviet republics, mainly to Russia’s largest cities, is a new phenomenon for Russia. This process led to the formation of new diasporas in Russia and to the development of the traditional ones. This article examines the case of the Armenian diaspora in a g...
متن کاملDeterminants of intergenerational transfers between elderly parents and adult children in the city of Tehran
Intergenerational private transfers as a component of intergenerational relations, defined as exchang of financial and nonfinancial rsources between different generations in the family. Financial transfers are known as supply of lifeycle deficit in the old and young ages and an important factor to fullfill needs in these stages of lifecycle. The aim of the study is to recognize composition of f...
متن کامل